AUD/USD drops to 0.6550 on dismal Aussie Retail Sales and mixed China's PMIs
AUD/USD is seeing a fresh selling wave, dropping to 0.6550 after Australian Retail Sales dropped by 0.4% in March while China's NBS April PMI data came in mixed. Focus shifts to China's Caixin Manufacturing PMI data.
EUR/USD finds support near 1.0720 after slow grind on Monday
EUR/USD jostled on Monday, settling near 1.0720 after churning in a tight but lopsided range as markets settled in for the wait US Fed outing. Investors broadly expect US rates to hold steady this week, but traders will look for an uptick in Fed guidance for when rate cuts could be coming.
Gold prices soften as traders gear up for Fed monetary policy decision
Gold price snaps two days of gains, yet it remains within familiar levels, with traders bracing for the US Fed's monetary policy decision on May 1. The XAU/USD retreats below the daily open and trades at $2,334, down 0.11%, courtesy of an improvement in risk appetite.
Top 3 Price Prediction Bitcoin, Ethereum, Ripple: Relief wave on altcoins likely as BTC shows a $5,000 range
Bitcoin price has recorded lower highs over the past seven days, with a similar outlook witnessed among altcoins. Meanwhile, while altcoins display a rather disturbing outlook amid a broader market bleed, there could be some relief soon as fundamentals show.
Gearing up for a busy week: It typically doesn’t get any bigger than this
Attention this week is fixated on the Federal Reserve's policy announcement scheduled for Wednesday. While the US central bank is widely expected to remain on hold, traders will be eager to discern any signals from the Fed regarding the possibility of future interest-rate cuts.
DEEPER DIVE
US versus the Eurozone: Inflation divergence causes monetary desynchronization
Historically there is a very close correlation between changes in US Treasury yields and German Bund yields. This is relevant at the current juncture.
Building the future
There is a construction boom underway that is quietly transforming the production capabilities and other aspects of the US economy. The fastest-growing category within nonresidential construction in recent years has been manufacturing.
Addressing the public debt challenge in the EU
Recently an agreement has been reached between representatives of the European Council, the European Parliament, and the European Commission on a new economic governance framework.
FXS Signals
Technical Confluences Detector
XAU/USD advances for a third consecutive day Premium
Gold trades with a positive tone on Monday, now hovering around $2,345 a troy ounce, as the US Dollar eases on the back of a better market mood that also sees stock markets advancing and government bond yields retreating. Speculative interest, however, maintains major pairs confined to familiar levels ahead of first-tier events scheduled for this week.
On the one hand, the United States (US) Federal Reserve (Fed) will hold its monetary policy meeting and announce the outcome on Wednesday. Chair Jerome Powell and co. are widely anticipated to keep interest rates on hold while delivering a hawkish message that will probably harm the US Dollar. US data released this past month showed slowing growth alongside stubbornly high inflation.
CRYPTOCURRENCIES
Trust Wallet with over 100 million users back on Google Play Store after temporary removal
Trust Wallet is a non-custodial software wallet that allows traders to send, receive, exchange and hold digital assets. Users can hold cryptocurrencies and NFTs in their Trust Wallets. The wallet disclosed its removal from Google’s application store, Play Store, early on Monday.
Maker loses 9% in past 24 hours as whales sell MKR for profits
Maker (MKR) wiped out 9% of its value in the past 24 hours. Data from crypto intelligence tracker Santiment shows that large wallet investors are taking profit on their MKR holdings, likely driving down the asset’s price.
Week Ahead: Bitcoin could surprise investors this week Premium
Two main macroeconomic events this week could attempt to sway the crypto markets. Bitcoin, which showed strength last week, has slipped into a short-term consolidation. However, a shift in momentum could soon bring forth a momentary rally for BTC and altcoins.
XRP slides to $0.50 as ETHgate controversy resurfaces, Ripple CTO debates impact on litigation
Ripple (XRP) loses all gains from the past seven days, trading at $0.50 early on Monday. XRP holders have their eyes peeled for the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filing of opposition brief to Ripple’s motion to strike expert testimony.
THE STOCK OF THE DAY
GOOGL stock adds 10% on healthy margins, new dividend, $70 billion buyback scheme Premium
Alphabet, the parent of Google and YouTube, is clinging to a 10% gain midway through Friday after posting spectacular first-quarter results. For the quarter ending March 31, Alphabet posted revenue of $80.5 billion compared with a consensus of $78.7 billion. This amounted to a 15% growth rate from a year prior.
ECONOMIC CALENDAR
WEEKLY FORECAST
EUR/USD: Federal Reserve and Nonfarm Payrolls spell action next week Premium
The EUR/USD pair temporarily reconquered the 1.0700 threshold this week, settling at around that round level. The US Dollar lost its appeal following discouraging US macroeconomic data indicating tepid growth and persistent inflationary pressures.
GBP/USD: Pound Sterling recovers after two straight weeks of losses Premium
Pound Sterling witnessed a negative start to the week despite the return of risk appetite on ebbing fears over a wider regional conflict in the Middle East.
US Dollar: Decline expected to moderate ahead of Fed and NFP Premium
A modest weekly retracement saw the Greenback reverse two consecutive advances, motivating the USD Index (DXY) to retreat further from yearly peaks at around 106.50 recorded earlier in the month.
Gold: Strength of $2,300 support is an encouraging sign for bulls Premium
Gold (XAU/USD) price started the week under heavy bearish pressure and registered its largest one-day loss of the year on Monday. The pair managed to stage a rebound in the second half of the week but closed in negative territory.
Bitcoin: BTC’s next breakout could propel it to $80,000 Premium
Bitcoin’s (BTC) recent price consolidation could be nearing its end as technical indicators and on-chain metrics suggest a potential upward breakout. However, this move would not be straightforward and could punish impatient investors.
Week ahead – Hawkish risk as Fed and NFP on tap, Eurozone data eyed too
Fed meets on Wednesday as US inflation stays elevated. Will Friday’s jobs report bring relief or more angst for the markets? Eurozone flash GDP and CPI numbers in focus for the euro. Chinese PMIs and New Zealand employment to be watched too.